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Nvidia Guides Past Estimates Without China as Reports Flag Alibaba’s New AI Chip

Unresolved U.S. 15% levy plans alongside China’s domestic chip push define Nvidia’s near-term outlook.

Overview

  • Nvidia posted $46.74 billion in quarterly revenue, with data-center sales up 56% year over year to $41.1 billion.
  • The company forecast roughly $54 billion in third-quarter sales that exclude China, and the stock slipped on the continued uncertainty.
  • Nvidia reported zero H20 shipments to China last quarter, and CEO Jensen Huang said the market is “effectively closed” even as he pegs it at about $50 billion.
  • A reported 15% U.S. take on China-directed chip sales has no formal rules yet; CFO Colette Kress says Nvidia will not pay without a regulatory document, and filings warn of litigation and competitive risks.
  • The Wall Street Journal reported Alibaba has developed a domestically produced AI inference chip as China accelerates homegrown alternatives, while Nvidia pursues licenses for scaled-down Blackwell parts that Huang says could take time.