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Nvidia Earnings Set to Test the AI Trade

The results serve as a test of whether AI‑fueled gains rest on lasting demand.

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FILE - Visitors give commands to a robot at Nvidia's booth during the 3rd China International Supply Chain Expo at the China International Exhibition Center, in Beijing, July 18, 2025. (AP Photo/Mahesh Kumar A., File)

Overview

  • Wall Street expects roughly $46 billion in quarterly revenue and about $1.01 in adjusted EPS, pointing to strong but slowing growth versus last year’s triple‑digit surge.
  • Nvidia, now valued above $4 trillion, remains the dominant supplier of AI chips that power hyperscale data centers for Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet and Meta.
  • Massive outlays by major tech firms underpin demand, with more than $325 billion in AI investment budgeted this year across the largest buyers.
  • The company’s China outlook is in focus after earlier export curbs produced multi‑billion‑dollar hits and a recent deal reportedly directed 15% of Chinese sales to the U.S. government.
  • Investor nerves have been stoked by an MIT finding that 95% of AI pilots fail and by Sam Altman’s warning about a potential bubble, raising the stakes for Nvidia’s guidance and commentary.