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Nvidia Earnings Loom as Tech Pullback Tests AI Rally

The outcome could sway major indexes due to Nvidia's outsize role in the AI trade.

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 19, 2025.  REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo
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Overview

  • With results due Aug. 27, investors describe the report as a key bellwether, saying sentiment has turned on edge after a hot AI-led run.
  • The tech sector has fallen roughly 3% this week, pulling the S&P 500 off record levels as some investors rotate toward defensive groups.
  • Consensus from LSEG points to a 48% EPS increase on $45.9 billion in revenue, with demand expectations supported by larger capex plans at Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon, which together account for about 40% of Nvidia revenue.
  • At least nine analysts raised 12‑month price targets this week, lifting the average to nearly $194, and nearly 90% rate the stock a buy, though any disappointment could have an outsized market impact.
  • Nvidia shares weakened after The Information reported the company asked suppliers to halt production related to its H20 chip for China, highlighting ongoing uncertainty around sales there.