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Nvidia Earnings Loom as Market Test With China Sales in Question

Investors are bracing for guidance that could reconcile lofty forecasts with renewed questions over China exposure.

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 19, 2025.  REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo
FILE PHIOTO: ASUS NVIDIA GeForce graphic card is seen in this illustration taken August 19, 2025. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
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Overview

  • Nvidia reports on Aug. 27 in what investors view as a pivotal read on AI demand and capital spending across major tech customers.
  • LSEG consensus points to roughly $45.9–$46 billion in revenue and about 48% earnings-per-share growth for the quarter.
  • Wall Street raised price targets ahead of the release, lifting the average near $194 and highlighting elevated expectations.
  • China uncertainty has intensified after reports that regulators discouraged purchases and that Nvidia asked suppliers to pause H20 chip production for that market.
  • With Nvidia near 8% of the S&P 500 and tech stocks wavering, a miss or cautious outlook could pressure indexes, while strong guidance could re-energize the AI trade.