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Nvidia Earnings Loom as AI Trade Faces Market Test

Lofty forecasts leave little room for a guidance miss that could sway major indexes.

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 19, 2025.  REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo
FILE PHIOTO: ASUS NVIDIA GeForce graphic card is seen in this illustration taken August 19, 2025. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
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Overview

  • Wall Street expects revenue of about $46 billion and a roughly 48% jump in EPS for Nvidia’s Aug. 27 report, according to LSEG data and recent consensus figures.
  • At least nine firms, including Wedbush, KeyBanc, UBS, Morgan Stanley and Susquehanna, raised 12‑month price targets this week, lifting the average to nearly $194, Bloomberg reported.
  • Nvidia’s market value sits above $4 trillion and its S&P 500 weight is near 8%, magnifying the impact of any surprise on broader benchmarks after a tech-led pullback.
  • China remains a key uncertainty, with reports of regulators discouraging purchases of newer chips and a supplier halt tied to the H20 model for that market, following a prior $4.5 billion export‑related charge.
  • Analysts cite robust demand from hyperscalers—Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon—which have boosted AI capex and account for a significant share of Nvidia’s sales.