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Nvidia Backstop Recasts CoreWeave’s Risk Profile as Backlog Builds and Upgrades Roll In

Analysts say Nvidia's capacity pledge lowers utilization risk for CoreWeave.

Overview

  • CoreWeave disclosed a $6.3 billion agreement under which Nvidia must buy any residual unsold data center capacity through April 2032, providing a multi‑year utilization backstop.
  • The company reports a $30.1 billion contracted backlog and says growth remains constrained by capacity rather than demand.
  • OpenAI expanded its CoreWeave commitment after an initial $11.9 billion contract, contributing to the surge in backlog.
  • Melius upgraded CoreWeave to Buy on September 23 with a $165 price target, citing benefits from accelerating cloud and AI infrastructure demand.
  • Coverage highlights ongoing risks including a rich valuation, continued losses projected through 2026, and heavy capex with elevated cash burn and leverage.