Overview
- Shares fell over 2% after results, with consolidated net profit down 3.9% quarter-on-quarter to Rs 5,067 crore, standalone revenue at Rs 39,200 crore, EBITDA at Rs 10,000 crore and adjusted PAT at Rs 4,500 crore up 8% year-on-year and 2% sequentially.
- Motilal Oswal maintained a Neutral rating with a target price of Rs 372, citing an EBITDA miss on soft power demand and flagging execution and valuation concerns at NTPC Green Energy.
- Nuvama reiterated a Buy with a Rs 413 target, pointing to an expected ~6% EPS CAGR for FY25–FY27, 17% core RoE and expansion into nuclear, pumped storage and battery storage.
- ICICI Securities issued a Buy on NTPC with a Rs 439 target and an Add on NTPC Green Energy, highlighting capacity goals of 149 GW by FY32 and 244 GW by FY37 driven by renewables and thermal additions.
- Execution remained a key risk as the group added 4.4 GW in H1 FY26 and cut its FY26 addition target to 9.1 GW, while NGEL’s delivered 3 GW at about 10x capex-to-EBITDA and reduced its FY26 guidance to 5.4 GW.