Overview
- South Korea’s National Intelligence Service said North Korea is likely to deploy additional troops to Russia in July or August to bolster Moscow’s planned large-scale offensive in Ukraine.
- The NIS briefing indicated Pyongyang has already started recruiting personnel and intends to send thousands of military construction workers and sappers to the Kursk region.
- Under a mutual defense pact signed in June 2024, North Korea has supplied Russia with over 10 million artillery shells, missiles and long-range weapons.
- In exchange for arms support, Pyongyang is receiving technical advice on satellite launches and missile guidance systems from Moscow.
- Russian forces now control about 81 percent of Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, Kherson and Luhansk and Ukraine’s intelligence warns a renewed assault may begin in the July-August window.