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5d ago

Noem Cites 1.6 Million Self-Deportations, Estimates Under Scrutiny

DHS is pointing to arrests, removals, cash incentives to prompt voluntary departures; researchers caution that survey nonresponse and incomplete records may exaggerate trends.

U.S. Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem speaks with a reporter on her plane while in the air en route from Quito, Ecuador to Joint Base Andrews, Md., Thursday, July 31, 2025.
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Overview

  • The 1.6 million figure comes from a Center for Immigration Studies analysis of the Census Bureau’s Current Population Survey showing a 2.2 million decline in the foreign-born population between January and July.
  • DHS reported more than 352,000 arrests and over 324,000 formal removals as part of its expanded enforcement push.
  • The administration has offered travel payments, $1,000 stipends and rebranded the CBP One app as the CBP Home app to encourage voluntary self-deportations.
  • CIS itself warned that increased immigrant reluctance to respond to surveys and incomplete administrative data could overstate the true decline in unauthorized residents.
  • Independent groups such as the Transactional Records Access Clearinghouse have disputed portions of the administration’s removal counts and urged validation against full records.