Overview

• The Norwegian Nobel Committee will announce the 2025 laureate on Oct. 10 at 11 a.m. local time in Oslo.
• Trump is among 338 nominees, with betting markets listing him alongside Yulia Navalnaya, Volodymyr Zelensky and Greta Thunberg as leading contenders.
• Supporters cite Middle East diplomatic moves and the absence of new large-scale wars during his term, while critics point to aggressive rhetoric, the Paris climate accord exit and tensions with Iran, China and North Korea.
• Families of Israeli hostages urged the committee to recognize Trump, crediting his involvement with bringing attention to efforts to free those abducted on Oct. 7.
• Analysts such as Oslo peace researcher Nina Graeger voice skepticism that the committee will choose such a polarizing figure, noting its stress on concrete results, and say a win would make him the fifth U.S. president and likely fuel unusually intense controversy given past disputes over prizes to Kissinger and Obama.