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Nobel Panel Signals Trump Is a Long Shot for 2025 Peace Prize

Officials say public lobbying undermines candidates.

A pedestrian walks past the Norwegian Nobel Institute in Oslo, Norway, September 9, 2025. REUTERS/Tom Little
The Nobel Peace Prize diploma for former U.S. president, Barack Obama, hangs on a wall with other diplomas in the Norwegian Nobel Institute in Oslo, Norway, September 9, 2025. REUTERS/Tom Little
An employee of the Norwegian Nobel Institute holds a replica of a Nobel Peace Medal in the Institute in Oslo, Norway, September 9, 2025. REUTERS/Tom Little

Overview

  • Trump used his United Nations General Assembly speech this week to argue he deserves the Nobel, claiming he ended seven ongoing wars.
  • Norwegian Nobel Committee deputy leader Asle Toje said influence campaigns tend to have a negative effect and stressed the committee’s independence.
  • Nobel historians and researchers cite Trump’s backing of Israel’s Gaza war, outreach to Vladimir Putin, exits from the WHO and Paris climate accord, and trade disputes as reasons he falls short of Nobel criteria.
  • A Washington PostIpsos poll shows 76% of Americans believe Trump does not deserve the Peace Prize.
  • Analysts expect the committee may honor humanitarian agencies, UN institutions, or press-rights groups on Oct. 10, though some say a clear, demonstrable peace breakthrough could change the calculus.