Overview

• The Swedish Academy will name the 2025 literature laureate on Thursday, Oct. 9, at 13:00 local time in Stockholm.
• Betting markets have recently promoted Australia’s Gerald Murnane to frontrunner status, while media lists also highlight Can Xue, Mircea Cărtărescu, Thomas Pynchon, Anne Carson, László Krasznahorkai, Haruki Murakami, and Mexico’s Cristina Rivera Garza.
• AFP-cited commentary from Dagens Nyheter’s Björn Wiman notes strong buzz around Swiss author Christian Kracht after a Gothenburg talk reportedly attended by many Academy members.
• Wiman and other commentators sketch demographic expectations, pointing to a perceived male–female alternation since 2017 that would suggest a male winner following 2024’s Han Kang.
• Coverage cautions that odds and media shortlists are unreliable, as nominations remain sealed for 50 years and recent winners have often surprised bookmakers.