Overview

• The Swedish Academy will announce the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature on Thursday, October 9 at 13:00 in Stockholm.
• Odds lists from sites including Nicerodds and Betsson place Gerald Murnane among the top picks alongside László Krasznahorkai, Mircea Cărtărescu, Thomas Pynchon, Haruki Murakami, Can Xue and Anne Carson.
• Cristina Rivera Garza features prominently in regional coverage and betting markets after her 2024 Pulitzer, with Mexico eyeing its first literature Nobel since Octavio Paz in 1990.
• Cultural editor Björn Wiman argues the pattern points to a white male from Anglo‑, German‑ or French‑language spheres, with Christian Kracht cited as a name discussed in Swedish literary circles.
• The Academy’s choice follows a confidential, year‑long review and often diverges from betting favorites, as fan vigils and hoax predictions, such as claims around César Aira, circulate without verification.