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NOAA Warns of Moderate Geomagnetic Storm Potential Dec. 3–4 After X-Class Solar Flare

NOAA says a Dec. 1 coronal mass ejection may deliver a glancing blow, with arrival timing still uncertain.

Overview

  • NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded an X1.9 solar flare on Nov. 30 followed by a Dec. 1 coronal mass ejection expected to intersect Earth tangentially.
  • NOAA forecasts geomagnetic conditions could reach G2, a moderate level on the G1–G5 scale, during Dec. 3–4.
  • Forecasters note the exact onset and duration are unclear as space‑weather models carry timing uncertainties.
  • Potential impacts include degraded GPS accuracy, satellite disturbances, high‑frequency radio issues for aviation, and adjustments on electrical grids.
  • Auroras could extend to about 55° geomagnetic latitude, with viewing possible across the northern U.S., southern Canada, parts of northern Europe and New Zealand’s South Island, while Mexico is not expected to be affected.