Overview

• NOAA assigns a 60% probability to an above-normal season, forecasting 13–19 named storms including 6–10 hurricanes and 3–5 major hurricanes.
• Atlantic waters are warmer than average and La Niña conditions are reducing wind shear, creating a favorable environment for storm formation.
• A low-pressure system near Mexico’s southern coast has a 70–80% chance of developing into the season’s first tropical storm before June 1.
• Upgraded prediction models and real-time tracking tools are expected to improve lead times for warnings and community preparedness.
• Experts urge reliance on official sources such as the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service to avoid clickbait and misinformation.