Overview

• NOAA assigns a 60% probability of an above-average hurricane season, driven by warmer Atlantic sea surface temperatures and reduced wind shear.
• The 2025 outlook anticipates 13-19 named storms, of which 6-10 could become hurricanes, including 3-5 major hurricanes of Category 3 or higher.
• Key climate factors influencing the forecast include ENSO-neutral conditions and a robust West African monsoon contributing to tropical storm activity.
• Officials emphasize the importance of early readiness, noting that even a single storm can cause significant impacts.
• The Atlantic hurricane season officially runs from June 1 to November 30, with peak activity typically occurring between mid-August and mid-October.