Overview

• NOAA projects a 60% chance of an above-normal 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, with 13–19 named storms, 6–10 hurricanes, and 3–5 major hurricanes.
• Key factors include warmer-than-average Atlantic sea surface temperatures, reduced wind shear, and a conducive African monsoon, which may fuel storm development.
• The 2024 season saw 18 named storms, 11 hurricanes, and 5 major hurricanes, causing over 400 fatalities and significant damage, highlighting the importance of readiness.
• Independent forecasts from Colorado State University and AccuWeather align with NOAA's projections, reinforcing confidence in an active season.
• Officials emphasize early preparation and highlight advancements in forecasting tools to improve accuracy and lead times for warnings.