Overview
- NOAA’s outlook gives a 60 percent chance of an above-normal season with 13 to 19 named storms, including 6 to 10 hurricanes and 3 to 5 major hurricanes.
- The National Hurricane Center is tracking a non-tropical low off the southeastern U.S. coast that has a 10 percent chance of developing into subtropical or tropical storm Andrea within seven days.
- Alongside the Atlantic system, the NHC is watching a Pacific disturbance off southern Mexico that carries a 60 percent chance of becoming a tropical depression by the weekend.
- Record-warm sea-surface temperatures across the Caribbean and Atlantic, amplified by climate change, are fueling forecasts for stronger and more frequent storms.
- Staffing and funding shortfalls at NOAA and FEMA have raised concerns about the agencies’ capacity to deliver accurate forecasts and coordinate an effective hurricane response.