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NOAA Predicts Above-Average 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season as Weather Agencies Face Cuts

Record Atlantic ocean warmth driven by La Niña conditions could trigger storms earlier than the mid-August peak.

Overview

  • NOAA forecasts 13 to 19 named storms, including 6 to 10 hurricanes and 3 to 5 major hurricanes, giving a 60% chance of an above-normal season.
  • Record-warm ocean temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic basin are providing abundant energy for storms to strengthen rapidly.
  • La Niña conditions and intensified tropical waves off the African coast are expected to fuel storm development throughout the season.
  • Budget and staffing cuts at the National Weather Service and FEMA have raised concerns over forecasting capabilities and disaster response capacity.
  • Experts urge communities, especially those still recovering from recent storms, to bolster hurricane preparedness as early as June.