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NOAA Predicts Above-Average 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season as Weather Agencies Face Cuts

Record Atlantic ocean warmth driven by La Niña conditions could trigger storms earlier than the mid-August peak.

Hurricane meteorologists will be watching this view of the Atlantic Ocean basin carefully in the coming months as the Atlantic hurricane season kicks off on June 1, 2025. Shown is a view from May 29, 2025.
A stock photo of palm trees before a tropical storm.
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Overview

  • NOAA forecasts 13 to 19 named storms, including 6 to 10 hurricanes and 3 to 5 major hurricanes, giving a 60% chance of an above-normal season.
  • Record-warm ocean temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic basin are providing abundant energy for storms to strengthen rapidly.
  • La Niña conditions and intensified tropical waves off the African coast are expected to fuel storm development throughout the season.
  • Budget and staffing cuts at the National Weather Service and FEMA have raised concerns over forecasting capabilities and disaster response capacity.
  • Experts urge communities, especially those still recovering from recent storms, to bolster hurricane preparedness as early as June.