Overview

• NOAA’s updated outlook calls for 13–18 named storms this season, with five to nine becoming hurricanes and two to five reaching major status, and places the odds of above-normal activity at 50%.
• Colorado State University’s mid-August two-week forecast assigns a 55% chance of above-normal tropical cyclone activity through Aug. 19.
• The National Hurricane Center is tracking three Atlantic disturbances with development odds of about 10%, 50% and 40% over the next seven days.
• Four early-season named storms have formed without intensifying into hurricanes, consistent with typical climatology before the mid-September peak.
• AccuWeather meteorologists project three to five additional named storms may develop in August as ocean and atmospheric conditions become more favorable.