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NOAA Forecasts New Year’s Eve G1 Geomagnetic Storm, Boosting Aurora Odds Across Northern U.S. and U.K.

Forecasters warn that aurora reach will be set by real‑time solar‑wind alignment during the CME’s arrival.

Overview

  • NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center projects G1 geomagnetic storm conditions overnight Dec. 31–Jan. 1 from a CME that followed a Dec. 28 M4.2 solar flare, with a recurrent high‑speed solar wind stream also in play.
  • An updated NOAA viewline map indicates potential visibility across the northern tier of the U.S., with chances extending into parts of states such as Iowa and Wyoming depending on conditions.
  • The U.K. Met Office expects fast winds from a coronal hole to intensify the auroral oval from Dec. 31 into Jan. 1, offering the best chances in Scotland, Northern England, Northern Ireland and North Wales.
  • Exact timing and latitude reach remain uncertain and hinge on live solar‑wind parameters, so officials advise monitoring real‑time alerts and short‑term forecasts.
  • Best viewing is typically late evening to early morning from dark, north‑facing locations, though bright moonlight may mute faint displays and photography can reveal more than the eye.