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NOAA Forecasts Active Atlantic Season with System Poised to Become First Storm

Upgraded forecasting tools aim to give communities more lead time for stronger storms fueled by La Niña-influenced warmth

Hurricane meteorologists will be watching this view of the Atlantic Ocean basin carefully in the coming months as the Atlantic hurricane season kicks off on June 1, 2025. Shown is a view from May 29, 2025.
A stock photo of palm trees before a tropical storm.
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Overview

  • NOAA predicts 13 to 19 named storms, 6 to 10 hurricanes and 3 to 5 major hurricanes for the 2025 Atlantic season.
  • Warm Atlantic waters and weak wind shear under La Niña conditions are creating ideal conditions for rapid storm development.
  • A low-pressure system off Mexico’s southern coast has a 70–80% chance of becoming the season’s first tropical storm before June 1.
  • Acting NOAA chief Laura Grimm warns that hurricanes now pose inland threats, bringing flooding and high winds far from coastlines.
  • Meteorologists urge the public to follow official updates from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service to avoid clickbait misinformation.