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NOAA Cuts Threaten Hurricane Forecasting as Active Season Looms

Trump administration's 25% budget cut proposal and 800+ job losses at NOAA jeopardize critical weather data and public safety ahead of an above-average hurricane season.

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A member of a weather team prepares a weather balloon for release during a NOAA media day to learn about a field campaign to study tornadoes, in Memphis, Tennessee on February 8, 2023.
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Overview

  • The Trump administration has proposed a 25% budget cut to NOAA, including plans to eliminate its research arm, following the loss of over 800 jobs since January 2025.
  • Staffing shortages have led to reduced weather balloon launches and scaled-back forecasting services, with the Sacramento NWS office halting public phone support and social media updates.
  • Meteorologists warn that diminished NOAA capacity will degrade forecast accuracy, potentially endangering lives during the predicted above-average 2025 hurricane season.
  • Colorado State University and AccuWeather forecast up to 10 hurricanes this season, with at least four expected to reach major strength, as Atlantic waters remain unusually warm.
  • Critics argue the cuts risk privatizing essential weather services and undermining NOAA’s nonpartisan mission, which historically delivers a $6 return for every $1 invested.