Overview

• Kickoff is Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET on ESPN at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, with Texas favored by about 6.5 points and the total around 41.5.
• There is roughly a 60% chance of thunderstorms in Gainesville, raising the possibility of delays and pushing both teams toward conservative, ball‑security‑minded game plans.
• Florida lists seven players out, including running backs Ja’Kobi Jackson and Treyaun Webb and defensive lineman Caleb Banks, while Texas expects WR Emmett Mosley V and RB Quintrevion Wisner as probables, with RB CJ Baxter doubtful.
• Texas enters with one of the nation’s best defenses by early metrics, ranking No. 1 in stop rate and allowing 0.66 points per drive, as Arch Manning’s offense seeks steadier production.
• Predictive models and analysts tilt toward Texas, with ESPN’s SP+ projecting about a 10-point margin and Joel Klatt picking the Longhorns to cover, as pressure intensifies on Florida coach Billy Napier after a 1–3 start.