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No. 8 Alabama Visits No. 14 Missouri as Tight Line, Models Tilt Toward Tide

Analysts highlight Alabama’s rush-defense vulnerability, making Missouri star Ahmad Hardy a potential difference-maker.

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Will Ty Simpson and Alabama beat Missouri on Saturday? Will the Crimson Tide cover the point spread against the Tigers? College football Week 7 predictions, picks, odds preview the SEC football game on Oct. 11, 2025.
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Overview

  • Kickoff is Saturday, Oct. 11, at noon ET (11 a.m. CT) on ABC at Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field in Columbia, Missouri.
  • Betting markets list Alabama by roughly 3 to 3.5 points, with ESPN’s Matchup Predictor giving the Tide a 63.4% win probability.
  • Rece Davis and other analysts have placed Alabama on upset watch, citing the early kickoff, travel, and a third straight emotionally charged week.
  • Missouri RB Ahmad Hardy leads the nation with 730 rushing yards, drawing focus against an Alabama defense allowing about 155.4 rushing yards per game.
  • Alabama has won four straight behind QB Ty Simpson’s SEC-leading passing numbers and has taken the past six meetings with Missouri, while the Tigers carry a long home winning streak.