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4d ago

No. 6 Duke at No. 20 Louisville as Cardinals Rule Out Mikel Brown Jr.

Oddsmakers expect a tight contest, and prominent models lean to a lower total.

TALLAHASSEE, FL - JANUARY 03: Cayden Boozer #2 and Cameron Boozer #12 of the Duke Blue Devils look on during the first half of the game against the Florida State Seminoles at the Donald L. Tucker Center on January 3, 2026 in Tallahassee, Florida. The 6th ranked Blue Devils defeated the Seminoles 91-87. (Photo by Don Juan Moore/Getty Images)
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Overview

  • Tipoff is set for 7 p.m. ET at the KFC Yum! Center with television coverage on ESPN.
  • Cameron Boozer leads Duke at roughly 23.0 points, 9.8 rebounds and 4.2 assists per game, while Isaiah Evans is coming off a 28-point outing with six 3-pointers at Florida State.
  • Louisville’s high-powered offense (about 90.4 points per game) will be without freshman point guard Mikel Brown Jr., who remains sidelined by a back injury.
  • Betting markets are narrow and vary by outlet, with lines swinging between Louisville as a slight favorite and Duke around -1.5, and totals listed near 161–163.
  • SportsLine’s model simulated the matchup 10,000 times and projects about 158 combined points with the Under hitting more than 60% of the time, and Duke has won the last seven meetings in the series.