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2d ago

No. 3 Michigan Visits No. 7 Michigan State With Big Ten Lead on the Line

Oddsmakers lean to Michigan in a razor‑thin rivalry defined by elite defense, recent surges, split projections.

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DETROIT, MICHIGAN - DECEMBER 20: Jaxon Kohler #0 of the Michigan State Spartans attempts a shot during the first half of the college basketball game against the Oakland Golden Grizzlies at Little Caesars Arena on December 20, 2025 in Detroit, Michigan. The Michigan State Spartans won the game 79-70. (Photo by Aaron J. Thornton/Getty Images)
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Jordan Godfree-Imagn Images

Overview

  • Tipoff is 8 p.m. ET on FOX at the Breslin Center, where the winner moves into sole possession of first place in the Big Ten.
  • Michigan is a slight 1.5-point favorite, though several models and analysts tilt toward Michigan State at home.
  • KenPom rates the Wolverines No. 1 and the Spartans No. 2 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency, underscoring a matchup built on stops.
  • Michigan enters off a 75-72 comeback over No. 5 Nebraska that ended the Huskers’ 24-game win streak, while Michigan State needed overtime to escape Rutgers.
  • The Spartans have won four straight in the series and seven straight at Breslin, with Jeremy Fears Jr. coming off a 29-point, nine-assist performance.