Overview
- Kickoff is 7:30 p.m. ET Saturday at Doak Campbell Stadium on ABC with Miami favored by 4.5 points and the total at 53.5.
- Miami is 4-0 behind an elite front seven and improved offensive line, with edge rushers Rueben Bain Jr. and Akheem Mesidor driving a defense allowing roughly 11.5 points per game.
- Florida State is 3-1 with the nation’s top scoring offense at about 53 points and 600 yards per game, and dual-threat quarterback Tommy Castellanos is viewed as the key variable against Miami’s pressure.
- Betting analysis is split, with ESPN recommending Florida State +4.5 based on Castellanos’ mobility and home field; this is FSU’s first game as a ranked home underdog since 2016.
- Elsewhere in the ACC, Clemson visits North Carolina at noon ET on ESPN, with ESPN’s model giving the Tigers a 77.5% win chance as UNC evaluates its starting quarterback after Gio Lopez’s injury.