Overview
- White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett said the president intends to submit a rebate proposal to Congress in 2026, but there is no legislation or January payout in place.
- Treasury reported about $195 billion in customs duties for fiscal 2025 and the Bipartisan Policy Center estimated $194.9 billion last year, below commonly cited costs of roughly $300 billion for $2,000 checks.
- A Supreme Court ruling expected early this year on presidential tariff authority could restrict the revenue the administration counts on for any rebates.
- A Daily Mail poll cited by Newsweek found 52% of registered voters favor a tariff-funded rebate even as many respondents reported worsening affordability.
- Officials have floated alternatives to direct checks and noted the Pentagon-funded $1,776 'warrior dividend' went to about 1.45 million service members, while Sen. Josh Hawley’s rebate bill has not advanced.