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No. 10 Miami Stunned by SMU in Overtime as Playoff Odds Plunge, Cristobal Questioned

The setback left Miami 6-2 with roughly an 8 percent CFP chance.

Overview

  • SMU beat Miami 26-20 in Dallas in overtime, handing the Hurricanes their second loss in three games after a 5-0 start and dropping them to 2-2 in ACC play.
  • ESPN’s Allstate Playoff Predictor now gives Miami about an 8 percent chance to reach the College Football Playoff, with analysts saying the team likely needs to win out to stay in contention.
  • The defeat feeds a recurring late-season slide under Mario Cristobal, with Miami 4-9 in November since 2022 and 14-14 in ACC games during his tenure.
  • Cristobal’s job performance is drawing increased scrutiny, and Fox Sports notes his potential buyout is approximately $61 million based on USA TODAY’s salary database.
  • Fox Sports reported the victory was SMU’s first over a top-10 opponent in 51 years, and Miami is expected to fall from the top 10 in the next AP poll.