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5h ago

No. 1 Ohio State Heavily Favored Over Reeling Penn State as Line Holds Around -20.5

Betting markets tilt toward the Buckeyes following Penn State’s four-game skid plus a midseason coaching change.

Ohio State Buckeyes wide receiver Jeremiah Smith (4) makes a catch during the NCAA football game against the Illinois Fighting Illini at Gies Memorial Stadium in Champaign on Oct. 11, 2025. Ohio State won 34-16.
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Overview

  • Sportsbooks opened Ohio State -21 and the spread remains about -20.5, with moneyline pricing near Ohio State -1600 and Penn State +1000 and a total of 44.5.
  • Caesars’ head of football trading Joey Feazel reports bettors are laying the points with Ohio State, leaving books likely rooting for a Penn State cover.
  • Dimers’ simulations give Ohio State a 93% win probability with a projected 33–13 result and identify Under 44.5 as the preferred angle.
  • Kickoff is set for Saturday, Nov. 1 at 12 p.m. ET at Ohio Stadium in Columbus with television coverage on FOX.
  • Ohio State enters 7-0 and 6-1 against the spread, while Penn State is 3-4 and 1-6 against the spread in its second game under interim coach Terry Smith after James Franklin’s firing.