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Nikkei Reaches Record High on Trade Truce Extension and Yen Weakness

Holiday-thin liquidity, sector rotation, rapid gains fuel elevated volatility risk

Overview

  • The Nikkei 225 climbed to 42,849.67, surpassing its July 2024 peak and mirroring all-time highs in global markets this year.
  • Investors credited a reported 90-day extension of the US-China trade truce for bolstering stock sentiment.
  • A weak yen and the muted effect of US tariffs have led Japanese companies to lift their earnings forecasts.
  • Technology shares have slowed after driving earlier gains, prompting some analysts to warn of a near-term rally peak.
  • Obon holiday–reduced trading volumes are heightening price swings and raising concerns about short-term volatility.