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6d ago

Niemann Holds Edge in LIV Golf Title Duel at Indianapolis

Published finish scenarios give Niemann a 58.7 percent probability to secure the $18 million individual bonus with a top-two finish after he built a 12.27-point lead over Rahm

AUG 08, 2025; Bolingbrook, Illinois, USA; Jon Rahm of the Legion XIII tees off on the 14th hole during the first round of the LIV Golf Chicago tournament at Bolingbrook Golf Club. Mandatory Credit: Melissa Tamez-Imagn Images/File Photo
WHITE SULPHUR SPRINGS, WEST VIRGINIA - AUGUST 16: Jon Rahm of Spain hand shakes Bryson DeChambeau of the United States after finishing the 18th hole during day one of LIV Golf: Greenbrier at The Old White Course on August 16, 2024 in White Sulphur Springs, West Virginia. (Photo by Isaiah Vazquez/Getty Images)
Jun 8, 2025; Gainesville, Virginia, USA; Jon Rahm (L) of team Legion XIII shakes hands with Joaquin Niemann (R) of team Torque GC on the eighteenth green after finishing the final round of the LIV Golf Virginia golf tournament at Robert Trent Jones Golf Club. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images/File Photo
Aug 10, 2025; Bolingbrook, Illinois, USA; Bryson DeChambeau of the Crushers GC lines up his putt on first hole during the third round of the LIV Golf Chicago tournament at Bolingbrook Golf Club. Mandatory Credit: Melissa Tamez-Imagn Images

Overview

  • Joaquín Niemann leads the individual standings with 208.43 points heading into the 54-hole finale at The Club at Chatham Hills, 12.27 ahead of Jon Rahm.
  • LIV Golf has outlined explicit scoring scenarios under which Niemann clinches the season crown by finishing first or second.
  • Rahm must win the Indianapolis event and have Niemann finish third or worse to reclaim the $18 million bonus.
  • Published odds peg Niemann’s chances at roughly 58.7 percent against Rahm’s 41.3 percent, intensifying scrutiny of the points format’s fairness.
  • Bryson DeChambeau sits third in the standings but is out of mathematical contention for the individual title.