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NHS Issues 'Stay Home' Alert as Drifted H3N2 Fuels Early, Severe UK Flu Surge

UKHSA says the jab still protects despite record early-season admissions and lagging uptake.

Overview

  • A drifted A(H3N2) subclade K has become the dominant virus in the UK, driving an unusually early and intense flu season, according to UKHSA.
  • An average of 1,717 flu patients were in English hospitals each day last week, up 56% on the same week in 2024, with 69 in critical care, NHS data show.
  • Early UKHSA estimates indicate vaccine effectiveness of about 70–75% against hospital attendance in children aged 2–17 and 30–40% in adults.
  • The NHS issued nationwide guidance urging people who are unwell to stay at home, cover their mouth and nose, practice hand hygiene and get vaccinated if eligible.
  • Uptake remains below benchmarks (for example, about 70% in over-65s and ~41–42% in several risk groups as of 30 November), and NHS leaders warn hospitalisations could reach 5,000–8,000 if current trends persist, with resident doctor strikes expected to add pressure.