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NHC Tracks Weak Gulf Low and Strengthening Atlantic Disturbance

Forecasts point to gradual Atlantic development later this week, with the Gulf low confined to a heavy rain risk.

Overview

  • The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a non-developing low in the north-central Gulf of Mexico and a separate disturbance in the central Atlantic.
  • The Gulf system carries a 0% chance of formation over 48 hours and seven days and is drifting toward the Texas coast by Monday.
  • Disorganized showers and thunderstorms off Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama could bring periods of heavy rain to parts of the western Gulf Coast.
  • The Atlantic disturbance, located several hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands, is expected to find more favorable conditions after a disorganized start.
  • NHC places formation odds at 30% in 48 hours and 60% over seven days, with a tropical depression possible mid to late week and a potential approach to the Leeward Islands later in the week; no immediate threats to Florida are indicated.