Overview
- The National Hurricane Center is monitoring three Atlantic disturbances and multiple westward tropical waves but assigns low 7‑day formation chances roughly between 10 and 30 percent.
- A broad low identified as Invest EP91 south of the southern tip of Baja and a nearby low southwest of Mexico have higher development odds and are likely to become tropical depressions this weekend or early next week.
- Forecasters warn the two eastern Pacific lows could interact or merge, a scenario that would raise forecast complexity for track and intensity predictions.
- The NHC continues advisories on Hurricane Lala and Tropical Storm Moke while regional high pressure, El Niño‑related wind shear, and Saharan dry air are suppressing Atlantic development and steering systems.
- Even systems unlikely to become tropical cyclones are producing heavy rain, rough seas and fresh to strong trade winds, so mariners and coastal communities should follow updates as conditions can change quickly.