Overview

• NHC estimates a 30% chance of development in 48 hours and 80% over the next seven days.
• Dry, Saharan air is suppressing convection and limiting near-term organization.
• Gradual development is anticipated, with a tropical depression likely by the middle to latter part of the week.
• The disturbance is moving west-northwest at roughly 10 to 15 mph across the central Atlantic.
• Some models hint at an early northward turn that would keep the system offshore, and it remains too early to know any U.S. or Florida impacts.