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NHC Raises Odds of Bay of Campeche System Developing Into Tropical Storm Barry

Forecasters warn that even without storm formation the disturbance could unleash heavy rains across Central America.

Image
The tropical outlook as of 8 a.m. Saturday, June 28, 2025. (NHC)
Shown is the satellite view of Tropical Depression Two, located in the far southern Gulf of Mexico.
Andrea satellite image screenshot for thumbnail

Overview

  • Tropical Storm Andrea dissipated on June 26 without bringing gusts or rain to land.
  • In its 8 a.m. tropical outlook on June 28 the National Hurricane Center upped the Bay of Campeche disturbance’s development chance to 50 percent over the next two to seven days.
  • If the system organizes into a tropical storm it would be named Barry as the second named storm of the 2025 Atlantic season.
  • Regardless of cyclogenesis, the area of showers and thunderstorms could produce locally heavy rainfall in Belize, Guatemala and southeastern Mexico over the coming days.
  • NOAA’s May outlook still forecasts an above-normal season with 13 to 19 named storms, including up to five major hurricanes.