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2w ago

NHC Puts 40% Odds on Atlantic Disturbance Developing Into Cyclone

Forecasters expect gradually improving conditions later this week for a westward-moving disturbance over the far eastern Atlantic.

A new system is forming in the Atlantic and has a 30% chance of becoming a tropical wave in the next 7 days.
The tropical outlook as of 8 a.m. Monday, Sept. 1, 2025. (NHC)

Overview

  • In its Monday morning outlook, the National Hurricane Center said a tropical wave over the far eastern Atlantic has a medium (40%) chance of developing within seven days and could become a tropical depression late this week or next weekend.
  • The system is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms and is expected to move west to west-northwest at about 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
  • If it strengthens into a named storm, it would be the seventh of the season and would be called Gabrielle.
  • NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center points to a higher likelihood of formation in the region between September 3 and 9.
  • Forecasters continue to signal an active stretch into mid-September, with above-normal seasonal projections and unusually warm Caribbean waters favoring increased activity.