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NHC: Pacific Disturbance Near Baja Likely to Become a Depression This Weekend

NOAA still projects an above-normal season despite a quieter Atlantic this week.

Overview

  • The NHC says EP93, a broad low several hundred miles south-southwest of Baja California, is likely to organize this weekend as it moves west-northwest.
  • EP93 carries a 60% chance of formation in the next 48 hours, according to the latest advisory late Thursday local time.
  • A separate area off southern Mexico could form this weekend or early next week, with a 60% seven-day chance to become a tropical depression by midweek as it tracks offshore.
  • In the Atlantic, a tropical wave expected to emerge off Africa on Aug. 31 has a 20% chance of development over seven days while moving west to west-northwest.
  • Fernand has become post-tropical in the Atlantic, Juliette is a remnant low in the Pacific, and NOAA’s outlook calls for 13–18 named storms with 5–9 hurricanes and 2–5 major this season.