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NHC Boosts Development Odds for Two Eastern Pacific Disturbances

Forecasters warn that warm ocean temperatures are boosting storm formation with the potential for heavy rainfall in Mexico or the U.S. Southwest.

A forecast from AccuWeather shows the potential timeline for development of two systems in the Eastern Pacific.
The National Hurricane Center is monitoring two potential systems in the Eastern Pacific.

Overview

  • The National Hurricane Center has raised the western disturbance’s chance of becoming a named storm to 80 percent and set the eastern system at 70 percent for the next seven days.
  • Both disturbances are moving west-northwest and could affect coastal areas of southern Mexico or the U.S. Southwest by early next week.
  • AccuWeather senior meteorologist John Feerick says the two systems could interact or even merge, though most forecast models predict they will strengthen separately.
  • Record-warm sea surface temperatures and low wind shear have driven the season’s early activity since its May 15 start, nearly a month ahead of the climatological norm for the first storm.
  • Forecasters project an above-average season in the Eastern Pacific with 14 to 18 tropical storms and seven to 10 hurricanes through November 30.