NHC: Atlantic Low South of Bermuda Unlikely to Develop

Overview

• The National Hurricane Center lowered formation chances to near 0% through both the next 48 hours and the next 7 days as the system has grown less organized.
• The low is producing a broad band of strong NE–E winds measured at about 30–40 knots and seas of 10–19 feet north of the circulation, creating hazardous conditions for ships and offshore craft.
• Forecasters expect the feature to drift east to east‑northeast and be absorbed by a new non‑tropical low or frontal system early next week, removing the prospect of subtropical transition.
• Observations from satellite scatterometer passes, altimeters and buoys showed a sharpening frontal signature and a poorly defined center, which are the primary reasons analysts downgraded development odds.
• The system poses no immediate land threat but underscores a common late‑season pattern in the subtropical Atlantic where weak lows cause marine hazards even when they will not become storms.