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NFL Week 9 Betting: Favorites Keep Covering as QB News Moves Key Lines

Midseason results are steering wagers toward favorites, with quarterback updates moving spreads and totals.

Overview

  • Favorites have covered 57.5% of games this season and home favorites nearly 59%, contributing to several hefty Week 9 numbers including Lions -8.5, Packers -13.5 and Rams -14.
  • The Broncos–Texans spread flipped from Denver -1.5 to Houston -1.5, and SportsLine’s survivor model advises avoiding Denver as Houston pairs recent offensive improvement with the NFL’s top-ranked scoring and yardage defense.
  • Rookie Tyler Shough will make his first start for the Saints against the Rams, who are posted as two-touchdown favorites, a setup that has analysts projecting a difficult scoring day for New Orleans.
  • Injury uncertainty is reshaping prices: Joe Flacco’s shoulder concern pushed Bears–Bengals toward Chicago (-3), while Carolina’s quarterback questions and offensive line injuries helped drive Packers–Panthers out to Green Bay -13.5.
  • Totals have ticked up in several spots, with Colts–Steelers moving from 48.5 to 50.5 on Indianapolis’ top-ranked offense versus a struggling Pittsburgh defense, Seahawks–Commanders rising to 48 after Jayden Daniels practiced fully, and 49ers–Giants up to 48.5.