NFL Survivor Week 11: Patriots Are the Chalk as FTN Picks Ravens After Upsets Thinned Fields

Overview

• Week 10 losses by the Bills and Panthers eliminated large swaths of entries, with Circa’s contest now at exactly 1,000 survivors.
• Betting markets list four clear favorites for Week 11: Patriots -13 vs. the Jets, Ravens -7.5 at the Browns, and the Packers and Texans as road touchdown favorites.
• Yahoo Sports recommends New England over New York, citing a move from -10.5 toward nearly two touchdowns and estimating 51.5% of entries still have the Patriots available.
• FTN selects Baltimore at Cleveland, with its model projecting roughly a 63% win probability and a preference to avoid short-week and overseas island games.
• SBNation tabs Texans over Titans as the safest play, calls the Patriots a value option with Thursday-night risk, and labels Packers-Giants and Steelers-Bengals as potential traps.