Particle.news
Download on the App Store

NFL Divisional Round Preview: Models Favor Broncos, See Shootout Potential in RamsBears

Advanced simulations flag Denver over Buffalo as the weekend’s primary edge.

Overview

  • The slate features Bills at Broncos, 49ers at Seahawks, Texans at Patriots, and Rams at Bears across Saturday and Sunday.
  • FTN’s 10,000-simulation model projects Denver to win over 60% of outcomes versus Buffalo, framing a near pick’em as a value on the Broncos.
  • RamsBears is widely projected to be high scoring, with FTN modeling Over 48.5 to hit 65% of the time and CBS’ model also leaning to the over.
  • Seattle enters favored over San Francisco after a Week 18 defensive domination that held the 49ers to three points, with injuries thinning San Francisco’s options.
  • Houston’s top-tier defense meets New England’s high-rated offense led by Drake Maye, as models see underdog value on the Texans and market odds place Seahawks and Rams atop the NFC with Patriots, Broncos and Bills leading the AFC.