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11h ago

NFC Playoff Race Tightens in Week 14 With Bears–Packers Set to Tilt North Lead

Analytics-driven projections spotlight two pivot games that could reset a crowded NFC.

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CLEVELAND, OHIO – NOVEMBER 30: Christian McCaffrey #23 of the San Francisco 49ers reacts after his team’s 26-8 victory against the Cleveland Browns at Huntington Bank Field on November 30, 2025 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Jason Miller/Getty Images)
Bears quarterback Caleb Williams breaks a tackle from Packers defensive end Kingsley Enagbare during the third quarter at Soldier Field on Nov. 17, 2024. (Armando L. Sanchez/Chicago Tribune)

Overview

  • With nine teams clustered near the cutline, there are no clinching scenarios in Week 14 for the NFC.
  • The NFC North lead is at stake when the Bears (9-3) visit the Packers (8-3-1) at Lambeau Field, with Green Bay favored by 6.5 points.
  • The Eagles (8-4) play the Chargers on Monday night seeking to lower a magic number of three for the NFC East, holding tiebreakers over several contenders and unable to reach the No. 1 seed this week.
  • On a bye, the 49ers (9-4) are guaranteed to move up at least one spot and could climb as high as No. 2 if both the Seahawks and Rams lose; the Panthers (7-6) also idle and watching results for help.
  • Detroit’s 44-30 win over Dallas improved the Lions’ postseason outlook, while the New York Times simulator pegs the Cowboys’ playoff odds around 9% and multiple teams face elimination scenarios, including the Commanders, Vikings, Browns and Jets.