Overview
- Proposition 50 would temporarily replace California’s independent redistricting commission with a legislature-drawn congressional map for 2026, 2028 and 2030 before the commission resumes after the 2030 census.
- The Yes on 50 effort reports $119 million raised as of Oct. 28, including about $38 million from 1.2 million small‑dollar contributions, with major donations from House Majority PAC (~$15 million), a Soros‑linked group (~$10 million) and Tom Steyer (~$12 million).
- Opposition groups are far outgunned financially and report far less cash on hand, and tracking shows their ad spending has slowed significantly in the campaign’s final stretch.
- Recent polling shows majority support: CBS News/YouGov at 62% yes, Emerson College at 57% yes, and PPIC at 56% yes among likely voters.
- Analyses indicate the proposed map could put up to five Republican-held seats in play for Democrats, a shift that could influence control of the U.S. House, as early returns show Democratic ballot advantages and more than 4.7 million votes cast by Oct. 28.