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New Zealand enters second recession in 18 months amid economic contraction

The economy's unexpected shrinkage prompts increased speculation on interest rate cuts, as policymakers face pressure to adjust strategies.

  • New Zealand's GDP contracted by 0.1% in the final quarter of 2023, marking the country's entry into its second recession within 18 months.
  • The Reserve Bank of New Zealand's aggressive monetary policy tightening is under scrutiny as the economy struggles to rebound.
  • Economists now anticipate interest rate cuts could come sooner than the previously projected mid-2025, with some expecting reductions as early as the second half of 2024.
  • Record migration has been a key factor propping up the economy, with 141,000 new arrivals in 2023.
  • Regulatory adjustments and budget cuts, including a reduction in government workforce, are expected as the government responds to the economic downturn.
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