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New Study Warns of 15% Chance of Cascadia Mega-Tsunami Within 50 Years

Virginia Tech researchers highlight the risk of a magnitude 8+ earthquake along the Cascadia Subduction Zone, which could trigger a mega-tsunami and cause significant coastal subsidence.

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Overview

  • The Cascadia Subduction Zone has a 15% probability of a magnitude 8.0 or greater earthquake within the next 50 years, according to a study published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
  • Such an earthquake could cause coastal land to sink by up to 6.5 feet, worsening the destructive impact of a potential mega-tsunami.
  • Alaska, Hawaii, and the US West Coast, including Northern California, Oregon, and Washington, are all at heightened risk due to geological and environmental vulnerabilities.
  • Historical events like the 1958 Lituya Bay tsunami in Alaska and the 1700 Cascadia earthquake illustrate the devastating potential of mega-tsunamis.
  • Scientists are actively monitoring glaciers, volcanic slopes, and seismic zones to improve early warning systems and preparedness for these rare but catastrophic events.