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New Study Warns 83% of 2020-Born Children Face Extreme Heat Exposure Without Urgent Climate Action

Research highlights the disparity between current policies leading to 2.7°C warming and the potential benefits of limiting warming to 1.5°C, as aid cuts and inadequate child-focused climate finance exacerbate risks.

Children drink water from a pipeline in the village of Afraaga, Somaliland. Credit: Joe Giddens / Alamy Stock Photo
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Overview

  • A May 2025 report by Save the Children and Vrije Universiteit Brussel reveals that 83% of children born in 2020 will face unprecedented lifetime heatwave exposure under current policies leading to 2.7°C warming by 2100.
  • Limiting global warming to the Paris Agreement target of 1.5°C could spare 38 million children from dangerous heatwaves and significantly reduce exposure to cyclones, floods, droughts, wildfires, and crop failures.
  • Current international climate finance, including the $300 billion COP29 pledge for low-income countries by 2035, falls far short of the adaptation and mitigation needs, particularly for children.
  • Only 2.4% of funding from major climate funds is allocated to child-responsive projects, leaving vulnerable children underserved in the face of increasing climate extremes.
  • Cuts to international aid budgets are worsening the situation, with wealthier nations scaling back support as climate-related disasters grow more frequent and severe, threatening children's futures.